The top 3 UP cities within NCR – Noida, Greater Noida and Ghaziabad – saw the maximum decline in overall unsold housing stock in two years in the state. ANAROCK & NAREDCO’s latest joint report ‘Addressing Challenges & Progressing Ahead in Real Estate’ released at the 1st National RERA Conclave today in Lucknow finds that the collective unsold stock in these cities of UP had declined by 26% – from 1,31,150 units in Q3 2017 to approx. 97,270 units by Q3 2019 end.
Remarking on the report, Anuj Puri, Chairman – ANAROCK Property Consultants says, “Noida, Greater Noida and Ghaziabad succeeded in significantly reducing unsold stock primarily because of developers’ conscious restriction of new supply in favour of ongoing project completion. While Gurugram alone saw more than 2,030 units launched in Q3 2019, these three key cities of UP collectively launched a mere 1,610 units. Two years ago, as well, the Millennium City saw new supply of 3,520 units while the other three cities launched just 1,220 units in the same quarter.”
The report underscores that while RERA policies have been diluted from the Central Act across states, the Uttar Pradesh government proactively revisited its RERA rules to eliminate dilutions and favour aggrieved homebuyers – particularly in Noida and Greater Noida, where several projects are either stuck or delayed.
Mr. Parveen Jain, Vice Chairman, NAREDCO says,“India real estate sector continues to face challenges in terms of reduced construction finance and high levels of unsold inventory. However, a slew of reforms and measures introduced by the government in the past few years have started showing positive results. These have the potential to resolve the current problems. Recovery in sales can already be seen across micro-markets. Real Estate Regulation and other positive measures applied by the government has made the market more responsible towards deliveries. The status of the NCR market is no different – with a decline in launches, developers are focused on completion of the unsold inventory.”
The new rules, which are expected to bring all ongoing projects for which completion certificates were not issued on or before 1st May 2016 under the purview of RERA, currently await the state government’s approval. Nearly 76% of a total of 17,077 complaints filed with UP RERA till September 2019 relate to promoters and projects in Noida, Greater Noida and Ghaziabad. However, UP RERA has disposed off more cases (over 10,000) since its inception than any other state with active RERA rules in place.
The report also examines the overall macroeconomic environment in India – including FDI inflows, inflation and GDP growth rate – and the challenges the Indian residential real estate sector faces. The major bottlenecks are lack of funds, the fallout of over-dependence on NBFC/HFC funds, and unmitigated burden of delayed/stalled units and lack of interest of PE players towards the residential segment.
Major Report Highlights
- New office supply likely to exceed 43 million sq. ft. in entire 2019, resulting in a yearly growth of 13% against 2018. Absorption of Grade A office stock likely to cross 37 mn sq. ft. in 2019, recording an increase of 11% against 2018 and reaching 2015 levels.
- Organized retail to corner a 13% market share by 2020, potentially reaching a value of US$ 140-160 billion.
- Logistics and warehousing drew nearly US$ 1.1 billion of private equity investments between Q1 2017 – Q1 2019 (against zero investment in 2015 and 2016 combined)